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Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Cincinnati

Morris (15'), Camilo Hernandez (23' pen.), Russell-Rowe (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nwobodo (45+2'), Arias (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

 While the visitors have been the best team in the league this season, they are not as dominant on their travels as they are back home. The Crew, on the other hand, have one of the best home records in the league this season, and we fancy them to take a share of the spoils in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
55.76% (-0.168 -0.17) 22.62% (0.157 0.16) 21.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.689 -0.69)44.03% (0.691 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.675 -0.68)66.42% (0.67800000000001 0.68)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.295 -0.3)15.64% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (-0.551 -0.55)44.65% (0.552 0.55)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-0.378 -0.38)34.34% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.405 -0.41)71.04% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 55.76%
    FC Cincinnati 21.62%
    Draw 22.62%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
35.7%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
35.7%
14
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
> Preview
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
2-0
Cincinnati
> Preview
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 27
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
> Preview
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