We said: Atlanta United 1-2 New York City FC
Although Atlanta are a strong proposition at home, they have little to play for in their final game, whereas New York City have the motivation of finishing above their local rivals.
Recent form and the fact that the away side will still be on a high following recent cup glory just gives them the edge here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.