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Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Cifuentes (17', 70'), Arango (72')
Palacios (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grandsir (55'), Raveloson (81')
Alvarez (8'), Coulibaly (45+3'), Edwards (59'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-0 Montreal
Tuesday, July 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

 Los Angeles FC will be wanting an immediate response after being beaten in their most recent outing, and they will believe that a derby victory is an ideal way to achieve that. LA Galaxy will be sure to provide a stern test for them though as they have been impressive themselves as of late, but with the home advantage against them this could be a tough task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
53.2% (-3.055 -3.06) 22.78% (0.885 0.88) 24.01% (2.163 2.16)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-1.591 -1.59)42.04% (1.585 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-1.617 -1.62)64.44% (1.61 1.61)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.562 -1.56)15.81% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.956 -2.96)44.97% (2.948 2.95)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.99799999999999 1)31.1% (-1.005 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (1.151 1.15)67.43% (-1.159 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 53.2%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 24.01%
    Draw 22.78%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.155 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.351 -0.35)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.375 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.341 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.432 0.43)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.543 0.54)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.4 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.01%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy

Los Angeles FC
71.4%
Draw
22.9%
Los Angeles Galaxy
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 12.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Hernandez (13'), Coulibaly (31')
Araujo (37'), Coulibaly (63'), Williams (70'), Costa (85'), Leerdam (85'), Alvarez (89'), Hernandez (90+3')
Arango (79')
Hollingshead (49'), Murillo (90+4'), Arango (90+10')
Oct 4, 2021 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Los Angeles
Grandsir (19')
Araujo (10'), Grandsir (18'), DePuy (30')
Fall (11')
Edwards (22'), Crisostomo (44')
Aug 29, 2021 12am
Los Angeles
3-3
LA Galaxy
Arango (44' pen.), Rodriguez (58', 66')
Cifuentes (14')
Joveljic (20', 64'), Cabral (86')
dos Santos (35'), Joveljic (64'), Coulibaly (76'), Cabral (87')
May 9, 2021 1am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Hernandez (11'), Dos Santos (79')
Villafana (20'), Saldana (42'), Hernandez (44'), dos Santos (80'), Harvey (83'), Araujo (90+2')
Rossi (62')
Blackmon (82')
Oct 25, 2020 7.30pm
Los Angeles
2-0
LA Galaxy
Musovski (58'), Vela (90+3')

DePuy (75')
Gonzalez (25')
rhs 2.0
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