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New York City
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2024 at 1.40am UK
Yankee Stadium
Columbus Crew

NY City
2 - 3
Columbus Crew

Ojeda (44'), Rodriguez (86')
Tanasijevic (33'), Parks (90+10'), Moralez (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+15')
Ilencic (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramirez (51'), Farsi (53'), Camilo Hernandez (63' pen.)
Cheberko (58'), Rossi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Columbus Crew

These are two resilient groups that have overcome some rough stretches this year, and we expect to see a spirited affair between a pair of well-balanced sides who are even in many respects. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawColumbus Crew
52.77% (0.314 0.31) 22.95% (0.151 0.15) 24.27% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-1.05 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (-1.151 -1.15)42.55% (1.149 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-1.156 -1.16)64.95% (1.153 1.15)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.304 -0.3)16.14% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (-0.557 -0.56)45.58% (0.554 0.55)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-1 -1)31.16% (0.997 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-1.183 -1.18)67.5% (1.18 1.18)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.77%
    Columbus Crew 24.27%
    Draw 22.94%
New York City FCDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.252 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: NY City vs Columbus Crew

New York City FC
66.7%
Draw
23.3%
Columbus Crew
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-1
NY City
Zawadzki (90+4')
Zelarayan (41'), Camilo Hernandez (45+2'), Amundsen (57'), Nagbe (64'), Zawadzki (85'), Degenek (90+9')
Nancy (14'), Camilo Hernandez (68')
Haak (75')
Barraza (13'), Rodriguez (68'), Cufre (90+8'), Haak (90+12')
Jun 17, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
1-1
Columbus Crew
Segal (90+4')
Cufre (32'), Parks (90'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ramirez (48')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-2
NY City
Camilo Hernandez (20'), Zelarayan (27', 75')
Mensah (5'), Etienne (63')
Mensah (3' og.), Pereira (64')
Rodriguez (18'), Morales (47'), Tinnerholm (74'), Amundsen (82')
Jul 31, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 20
NY City
4-1
Columbus Crew

Andrade (36'), Thorarinsson (41'), Castellanos (55'), Medina (69')
Santos (90+7' pen.)
Santos (49')
rhs 2.0
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