Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.