Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.