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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Austin FC

Portland
0 - 1
Austin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (42')
Pereira (22'), Obrian (40'), Stuver (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Austin FC

Portland Timbers return to the Q2 Stadium for the first of their final two home games of the campaign and will fancy themselves against a deflated Austin side who have run out of steam at the business end of the season. Neville's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to extend their dominance over Los Verdes with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
55.06% (1.285 1.29) 20.71% (-0.615 -0.61) 24.23% (-0.665 -0.66)
Both teams to score 65.82% (1.542 1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (2.333 2.33)31.91% (-2.328 -2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (2.68 2.68)53.46% (-2.675 -2.68)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (1.148 1.15)11.78% (-1.142 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (2.394 2.39)36.98% (-2.389 -2.39)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.791 0.79)25.39% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (1.07 1.07)60.2% (-1.063 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 55.06%
    Austin FC 24.23%
    Draw 20.71%
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.212 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.525 -0.53)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.244 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.263 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.231 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.174 0.17)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.508 -0.51)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.1% (-0.434 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: Portland vs Austin

Portland Timbers
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
5.9%
17
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Austin
0-2
Portland

Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')
Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')
Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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