Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.