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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Nashville

NY Red Bulls
0 - 0
Nashville


Schwarz (32'), Eile (40'), Edelman (75')
FT

Bauer (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-2 Nashville SC

New York Red Bulls have had a better season than Nashville so far, but the sheer number of absentees as a result of international duty and injury could be to the away side's benefit. Additionally, both teams have been vulnerable defensively at times this campaign, and this could make for an entertaining game on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNashville SC
57.33% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 24.39% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 18.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.89% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (0.122 0.12)55.37% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.101 0.1)76.58% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.079000000000008 0.08)19.19% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.13 0.13)50.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (0.026999999999994 0.03)44.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 57.33%
    Nashville SC 18.28%
    Draw 24.38%
New York Red BullsDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 14.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 57.33%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 18.28%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Nashville

New York Red Bulls
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Nashville SC
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 10pm
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Nashville
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Picault (45+3')
Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Nashville
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Williams (37')
Godoy (76')
Gomes (1')
Davis (14'), Diarra (86')
Jun 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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