Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.