Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.