Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.