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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
National Sports Center
Vancouver Whitecaps

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Vancouver

Fragapane (17'), Gonzalez (77')
Trapp (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gauld (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Austin
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

Despite their recent form, we expect Minnesota United to just about get over the line and make the playoffs, although it will be with a draw. Vancouver Whitecaps have not won away from home since June, and it will be too much of an ask for them to end this run in such a crucial game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
53.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.23% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.31% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19%32.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63%69.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.75%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 23.23%
    Draw 23.02%
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Vancouver

Minnesota United
10.0%
Draw
50.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 3.30am
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Boxall (45' og.), White (63')
Jungwirth (38'), Brown (83')
Adi (90+1')
Dotson (84'), Reynoso (90')
Aug 1, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Dajome (36', 90+4' pen.)
Baldisimo (34'), Ricketts (86'), Bikel (87')
Finlay (45'), Lod (75')
Metanire (45+2'), Taylor (48'), Trapp (55')
May 13, 2021 2am
Minnesota Utd
1-0
Vancouver
Abila (72')
Boxall (29'), Abila (74'), Alonso (90+4')

Gaspar (31'), Alexandre (58'), Cornelius (76')
rhs 2.0
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