Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.