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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 0
Aveley

Johnson (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Barking (4-5 pen.)
Monday, September 13 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawAveley
33.4% (-1.27 -1.27) 26.36% (0.13 0.13) 40.24% (1.137 1.14)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.766 -0.77)52.06% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.665 -0.67)73.79% (0.663 0.66)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-1.177 -1.18)29.44% (1.174 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-1.461 -1.46)65.44% (1.46 1.46)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.261 0.26)25.44% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.357 0.36)60.27% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 33.4%
    Aveley 40.24%
    Draw 26.35%
Chippenham TownDrawAveley
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.4%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.379 0.38)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.313 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.24%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd22127333191443
2Truro CityTruro City22125535201541
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood22117437181940
4Dorking WanderersDorking23117549311840
5Maidstone UnitedMaidstone22109335201539
6Weston-super-MareWeston22116534241039
7Worthing2211653430439
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2211653026439
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2211383534136
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels219842822635
11Slough TownSlough2296740291133
12Hampton & RichmondHampton228773124731
13AFC HornchurchHornchurch228772423131
14Chippenham TownChippenham2284102828028
15Chesham UnitedChesham218493035-528
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City216873532326
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
18Salisbury2266103134-324
19Welling UnitedWelling United2273122440-1624
20Bath City2264121829-1122
21Aveley2243152542-1715
22Enfield Town2243152247-2515
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2127121230-1813


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