National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Welling United1 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-3 Welling United
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Welling United | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Concord Rangers | 4 | -3 | 7 |
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Bath City | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
25.34% ( -1.16) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 50.4% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
