National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City3 - 1Weymouth
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Weymouth.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slough 0-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Dulwich Hamlet | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Braintree Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Last Game: Weymouth 0-3 Worthing
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Slough Town | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 23 | Chippenham Town | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Weymouth |
53.19% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( 0.01) | 21.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
