National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road
Welling United1 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
18.95% ( 0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 57.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( 0.16) | 50.84% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( 0.14) | 72.72% ( -0.14) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59% ( 0.15) | 41% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.45% ( 0.13) | 77.55% ( -0.13) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( 0.05) | 17.4% ( -0.05) |