Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
51.59% ( -1.15) | 24.16% ( 0.39) | 24.25% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( -0.95) | 47.88% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( -0.88) | 70.06% ( 0.88) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0.79) | 18.55% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( -1.36) | 49.8% ( 1.36) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( 0.14) | 34.08% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( 0.15) | 70.77% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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