Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.14% ( 1.38) | 23.04% ( 0.29) | 32.82% ( -1.67) |
Both teams to score 64.04% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.91% ( -2.01) | 37.09% ( 2.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.72% ( -2.2) | 59.29% ( 2.21) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.25) | 17.28% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.38% ( -0.46) | 47.63% ( 0.47) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( -1.83) | 22.58% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.82% ( -2.8) | 56.18% ( 2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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