Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
38.98% ( -0.05) | 24.04% ( -0.01) | 36.98% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 61.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% ( 0.04) | 41.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.54% ( 0.04) | 63.46% ( -0.04) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( -0.01) | 21.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% ( -0.01) | 54.08% ( 0) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( 0.04) | 22.2% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% ( 0.06) | 55.6% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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