Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.