Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.