Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Altrincham |
25.1% ( -0.05) | 26.12% ( -0.02) | 48.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.03% ( 0.02) | 54.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.01) | 76.24% ( -0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( -0.04) | 37.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( -0.04) | 74% ( 0.04) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( 0.03) | 22.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% ( 0.05) | 56.16% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
3 | York City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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