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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
3 - 2
Oxford City

Morgan-Smith (58'), Lambert (75'), Omotayo (79')
Penny (43'), Lambert (71'), Morgan-Smith (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Parker (17', 44' pen.)
Fleet (36'), Roberts (45+3'), Ashby (68'), Burley (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOxford City
55.99% (-0.936 -0.94) 22.75% (0.256 0.26) 21.27% (0.68 0.68)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.179 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (-0.254 -0.25)45.03% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.246 -0.25)67.38% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-0.405 -0.41)15.91% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (-0.749 -0.75)45.15% (0.75 0.75)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (0.524 0.52)35.23% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.543 0.54)71.99% (-0.54299999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 55.98%
    Oxford City 21.27%
    Draw 22.74%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 55.98%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.27%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Oxford City
2-2
Kidderminster
Burley (16'), Sanderson (37')
Humphrey-Ewers (35'), Humphrey Ewers (36'), Carroll (45+4'), Smith (55'), McQueen (90')
Hemmings (43' pen.), Morgan-Smith (53')
McNally (35'), Lissimore (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312


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