Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.