Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.