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FA Cup
Sutton United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Birmingham logo

Sutton
0 - 1
Birmingham


Sivi (10'), Barbrook (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thor Willumsson (34')
Allsop (15'), Laird (58'), Anderson (62'), Cochrane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Birmingham City

 Despite the gulf in class between the two sides, Sutton are likely to make the contest a challenging one for League One leaders Birmingham. Blues will be able to control the ball on the artificial surface at Gander Green Lane and should earn safe passage into the second round if they can avoid a full-blown battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Sutton United win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawBirmingham City
20.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 58.03% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (0.318 0.32)42.58% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (0.317 0.32)64.99% (-0.315 -0.31)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.19500000000001 0.2)34.98% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.202 0.2)71.72% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6% (0.126 0.13)14.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.69% (0.241 0.24)42.31% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 20.11%
    Birmingham City 58.03%
    Draw 21.85%
Sutton UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.11% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.15% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.03%

How you voted: Sutton vs Birmingham

Sutton United
17.3%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
73.1%
52
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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