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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Scunthorpe United

York City
0 - 0
Scunthorpe


Fallowfield (23'), Ellis (58')
FT

Rance (7'), Thompson (26'), Richards-Everton (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: York City 1-0 Scunthorpe United

Scunthorpe will be reeling after their thumping by Notts County on Saturday and home advantage combined with the goalscoring prowess of John-Lewis and Forde may just give York the edge in this basement battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
46.86% (2.475 2.48) 24.86% (-0.146 -0.15) 28.28% (-2.331 -2.33)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.592 -0.59)47.79% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.547 -0.55)69.97% (0.544 0.54)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.846 0.85)20.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (1.329 1.33)52.89% (-1.331 -1.33)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.945 -1.94)30.81% (1.944 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-2.353 -2.35)67.08% (2.351 2.35)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.86%
    Scunthorpe United 28.28%
    Draw 24.86%
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 10% (0.492 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.584 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.86%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-1
York City
Apter (88')
Nuttall (45+1')
John-Lewis (23' pen.)
May 3, 2014 3pm
Oct 29, 2013 7.45pm
York City
4-1
Scunthorpe
Carson (7'), Fletcher (12'), Brobbel (20', 40')
Whitehouse (26')
Winnall (47')
Syers (27'), Dawson (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet32207563313267
2York City30196559263363
3Forest Green RoversForest Green311711350252562
4Oldham AthleticOldham311511549321756
5Gateshead30157855371852
6Halifax TownHalifax3114983830851
7AltrinchamAltrincham301310750351549
8Rochdale27135939231644
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool32101483838044
10Southend UnitedSouthend311110103733443
11Solihull MoorsSolihull31126134745242
12Sutton UnitedSutton30119104038242
13Eastleigh30101194038241
14Yeovil TownYeovil31109123538-339
15Tamworth31109123649-1339
16Woking31811123244-1235
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red31810134444034
18Braintree TownBraintree3197153142-1134
19Aldershot TownAldershot29612114250-830
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3086163657-2130
21WealdstoneWealdstone30611133447-1329
22Fylde3085173660-2429
23Boston UnitedBoston2848162445-2120
24Ebbsfleet32110212169-4813


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