National League | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
York City2 - 1Dorking
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gallagher (86')
Bowerman (74'), Gallagher (87')
Bowerman (74'), Gallagher (87')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Dorking Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: York City 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 11 at 5.20pm in National League
Saturday, March 11 at 5.20pm in National League
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
52.47% ( 4.51) | 23.23% ( -0.82) | 24.3% ( -3.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
