Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Lithuaniavs.Belarus
Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Lithuania and Belarus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Belarus |
21.57% ( -0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 52.48% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
