Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Lithuaniavs.Belarus
Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Lithuania and Belarus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Belarus |
21.57% ( -0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 52.48% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.17) | 57.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.87% ( -0.14) | 78.13% ( 0.14) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.1% ( -0.41) | 41.89% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.35) | 78.34% ( 0.35) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0.07) | 21.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.8% ( 0.1) | 55.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Lithuania 21.57%
Belarus 52.46%
Draw 25.95%
| Lithuania | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.46% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Belarus
Lithuania
16.7%Draw
16.7%Belarus
66.7%6
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 12am
Friendlies 2
Belarus
0-0
Lithuania
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
League C
Belarus
2-0
Lithuania
Oct 11, 2020 5pm
League C
Lithuania
2-2
Belarus
