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World Cup
Poland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Finals
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Sweden national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Sweden

Lewandowski (49' pen.), Zielinski (72')
Goralski (38'), Moder (52'), Lewandowski (77'), Bielik (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Isak (81'), Kulusevski (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Sweden

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 1-2 Norway
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Sweden vs. Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-2 Sweden

 Sweden appear to have Poland's number given recent results, and the returns of two seasoned goalscorers in Lewandowski and Ibrahimovic certainly makes this encounter one to watch. While Andersson's side left it all out on the pitch on Thursday, Poland's encounter with Scotland was not exactly relaxing, and given Sweden's attacking options in reserve, we are backing the Blue and Yellow to spoil the Polish party and advance to the finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawSweden
45.34%23.14%31.53%
Both teams to score 63.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61%60.39%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49%47.51%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Score Analysis
    Poland 45.34%
    Sweden 31.53%
    Draw 23.13%
PolandDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.53%

How you voted: Poland vs Sweden

Poland
58.1%
Sweden
41.9%
542
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2021 5pm
Group E
Sweden
3-2
Poland
Forsberg (2', 59'), Claesson (90+4')
Danielsson (10')
Lewandowski (61', 84')
Krychowiak (74'), Glik (83')
rhs 2.0
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