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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Glenavon


Harpur (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fitzpatrick (13'), Moorhouse (90+3')
Larmour (58'), Garrett (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
30.73%23.67%45.59%
Both teams to score 60.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95%41.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55%63.43%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.65%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66%49.33%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 30.73%
    Glenavon 45.59%
    Draw 23.66%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.36%
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 45.59%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ballymena
0-3
Glenavon

Owens (34'), Friel (67'), Burns (90'), Carville (90')
Byrne (10'), Purkis (65'), Moorhouse (90')
Birney (83'), Garrett (85'), Doyle (90'), Singleton (90')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ballymena
2-1
Glenavon
Friel (48', 93')
Jenkins (50')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Marshall (28'), McCullough (57' og.), Jenkins (90')
Friel (11')
Apr 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Ballymena
4-3
Glenavon
McGrory (9'), McMurray (22'), Lecky (56'), McGinty (87')
Sharkey (19'), Singleton (58'), Mitchell (86')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Glenavon
0-2
Ballymena
Lecky (13'), Winchester (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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