Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
