Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 69.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 3-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Reading Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.