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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
32.07%25.71%42.22%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.07%
    Southampton 42.22%
    Draw 25.7%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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