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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
32.07%25.71%42.22%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.07%
    Southampton 42.22%
    Draw 25.7%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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