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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 27.63%
    Aston Villa 47.63%
    Draw 24.73%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Bournemouth
15.3%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
72.7%
300
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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