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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Aston Villa

Both sides head into this fixture full of confidence after their respective performances last time out. However, we feel that these are two evenly-matched sides, and a low-scoring draw in a competitive fixture feels like the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
32.52% (-0.404 -0.4) 26.68% (0.124 0.12) 40.8% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.587 -0.59)53.54% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.498 -0.5)75.05% (0.495 0.5)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.563 -0.56)30.76% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.669 -0.67)67.02% (0.667 0.67)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.122 -0.12)25.82% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.166 -0.17)60.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 32.52%
    Aston Villa 40.8%
    Draw 26.67%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
52.4%
Draw
29.5%
Aston Villa
18.1%
288
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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