Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.