We said: Fulham 2-1 Sevilla
While Sevilla will no doubt boast the fresher legs in Algarve, Silva's Fulham have been irrepressible in the summer warm-up period, while the Spanish side are still getting used to Pimienta's methods.
As a result, we have faith in the Cottagers to make it four from four in pre-season, but not without a fight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.