We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Arsenal
It has been over three years since Newcastle breached Arsenal's defence, but the Gunners are leaking goals at an alarming rate, and Allan Saint-Maximin in particular will fancy his chances against the Gunners' full-backs.
When Arsenal are in a bad moment, they are in a very bad moment, but Newcastle are still prone to the odd lacklustre defensive showing and could shake hands on an entertaining draw with the Gunners - not that it will do much good for the visitors' Champions League hopes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.