Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds0 - 1Newcastle
We said: Leeds United 2-1 Newcastle United
In spite of their disappointing bottom-half standing, Leeds have been a tough nut to crack at Elland Road in recent weeks and need no second invitation to attack this leaky Magpies defence. It is just one frustration after another for Newcastle at this point, who will not roll over and accept defeat on Saturday, but a first away win of the season should continue to elude the Magpies. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 61.41% | 21.7% | 16.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
