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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Benfica

Farense
1 - 2
Benfica

Poveda (15')
Neto (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandez (21'), Pavlidis (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 0-3 Benfica

Benfica had to dig deep to see off a resilient Santa Clara side in their midweek up outing and will head into Saturday's clash with sky-high confidence. Farense have scored just three league goals this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, and while they will be looking to find their feet this weekend, we fancy As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
8.31% (-0.029 -0.03) 14.12% (0.036 0.04) 77.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)33.49% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-0.363 -0.36)55.28% (0.364 0.36)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-0.301 -0.3)46.51% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.234 -0.23)82.11% (0.235 0.23)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)6.99% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.4% (-0.187 -0.19)25.6% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 8.31%
    Benfica 77.55%
    Draw 14.12%
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 8.31%
1-1 @ 6.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.12%
0-2 @ 11.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 3.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 77.55%

How you voted: Farense vs Benfica

SC Farense
7.7%
Draw
2.6%
Benfica
89.7%
39
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies 3
Benfica
5-0
Farense
Luis (32'), Pavlidis (45+3'), Prestianni (47'), Rollheiser (53', 84')
Miguel Geraldes Parente (81')

Balde (77')
Apr 22, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Farense
1-3
Benfica
Belloumi (23')
Falcao (53')
Kokcu (16'), Cabral (34'), Fernandez (67')
Luis (26'), Mario (44')
Dec 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
1-1
Farense
Silva (71')
Otamendi (78'), Mario (82')
Falcao (51')
Muscat (36'), Caseres (90'), Pastor (90')
Feb 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 20
Farense
0-0
Benfica
Pedro (86'), Lucca (90+6')
Gabriel (31'), Otamendi (89')
Oct 4, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Benfica
3-2
Farense
Pizzi (15'), Seferovic (79', 87')
Gabriel (50'), Otamendi (52'), Almeida (71')
Lucca (54'), Fernandes (90+5')
Nunes (34'), Cesar (63'), Scheid (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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