We said: SC Farense 0-3 Benfica
Benfica had to dig deep to see off a resilient Santa Clara side in their midweek up outing and will head into Saturday's clash with sky-high confidence. Farense have scored just three league goals this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, and while they will be looking to find their feet this weekend, we fancy As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.