Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
6.5% ( -0.01) | 12.63% ( -0.02) | 80.86% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% ( 0.09) | 33.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% ( 0.1) | 55.05% ( -0.1) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.96% ( 0.04) | 51.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.63% ( 0.03) | 85.37% ( -0.03) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.69% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.26% ( 0.07) | 23.74% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.5% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.63% | 0-2 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.32% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 80.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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