Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
6.5% ( -0.01) | 12.63% ( -0.02) | 80.86% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% ( 0.09) | 33.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% ( 0.1) | 55.05% ( -0.1) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.96% ( 0.04) | 51.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.63% ( 0.03) | 85.37% ( -0.03) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.69% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.26% ( 0.07) | 23.74% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.5% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.63% | 0-2 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.32% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 80.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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