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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Farense logo

Braga
2 - 0
Farense

Gharbi (41'), El Ouazzani (70')
Niakate (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Millan (56'), Neto (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sanjoanense 2-4 Farense
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-0 SC Farense

Still licking their wounds from their Europa League defeat, Braga will head into the weekend looking to clean the dust off their feet and return to winning ways. While Farense have upped the ante of late, they have failed to win five of their last six games against Carvalhal's men — losing four and claiming one draw — and we see them struggling at the Estadio do Braga on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawSC Farense
73.06% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19) 15.79% (0.025 0.03) 11.14% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.3% (0.528 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.61% (0.36800000000001 0.37)32.39% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.98% (0.42599999999999 0.43)54.01% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.34% (0.046999999999997 0.05)7.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.68% (0.124 0.12)27.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (0.541 0.54)40.11% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.49 0.49)76.75% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Braga 73.06%
    SC Farense 11.14%
    Draw 15.79%
BragaDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.026 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 11.14%

How you voted: Braga vs Farense

Braga
93.9%
Draw
6.1%
SC Farense
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Farense
Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')
Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')
Sep 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
3-1
Braga
Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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