Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 35.54% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.06%).
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
35.54% ( 1) | 27.66% ( -0.17) | 36.79% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% ( 0.69) | 56.98% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( 0.55) | 77.88% ( -0.55) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% ( 0.99) | 30.52% ( -0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% ( 1.16) | 66.74% ( -1.16) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( -0.17) | 29.74% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% ( -0.21) | 65.8% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |