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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Casa Pia

Porto
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Vieira (51'), Omorodion (55')
Borges (87'), Jose Cardoso Sousa (88'), Otavio (90+6'), Otavio (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 Porto
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-0 Chaves
Saturday, November 23 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-0 Casa Pia

Porto are expected to put the recent wobble behind them on their return to the Dragao, seeking a return to winning ways at Casa Pia's expense. After four matches without success, Bruno's team are backed to record a seventh straight Liga victory in front of their supporters and eighth since the end of last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawCasa Pia
87.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 9.16% (-0.0018999999999991 -0) 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
Both teams to score 38.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.34%18.66%
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.51% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)59.48% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.61% (-0.010900000000001 -0.01)90.38% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 87.23%
    Casa Pia 3.6%
    Draw 9.16%
PortoDrawCasa Pia
3-0 @ 13.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.93%
4-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
5-0 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 87.23%
1-1 @ 4.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 9.16%
0-1 @ 1.41%
1-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 3.6%

How you voted: Porto vs Casa Pia

Porto
90.8%
Draw
4.6%
Casa Pia
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 30
Casa Pia
1-2
Porto
Moreira (37')
Neto (58'), Zolotic (66'), Larrazabal (78')
Galeno (31'), Gonzalez (56')
Wendell (90+7')
Dec 9, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Porto
3-1
Casa Pia
Evanilson (12'), Pedro (49'), Pepe (81')
Evanilson (36'), Varela (39'), Sanchez (88')
Fernando (89' pen.)
Roberto (90+2')
May 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 32
Porto
2-1
Casa Pia
Taremi (56'), Loader (90+3')
Evanilson (45+5' og.)
Jan 7, 2023 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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