MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:06:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia

Estoril
0 - 2
Casa Pia


Costa (38'), Garcia (40'), Boma (61'), Livolant (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Segovia (56'), Cassiano (63')
Pedro Goulart Silva (68'), Segovia (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-2 Estoril
Friday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 AVS
Sunday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Casa Pia

While Casa Pia will be looking to return to winning ways, results against Estoril offer little optimism as they have failed to win any of their previous eight encounters. The Canarinhos have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks and we fancy them to secure all three points here.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
46.17% (-0.445 -0.45) 26.51% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 27.31% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 49.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98% (-0.12 -0.12)55.01% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.099 -0.1)76.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)23.79% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.38 -0.38)57.94% (0.377 0.38)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.227 0.23)35.37% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (0.235 0.23)72.13% (-0.236 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 46.17%
    Casa Pia 27.32%
    Draw 26.5%
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.17%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Casa Pia
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Casa Pia
0-0
Estoril
Basso (72'), Fernandes (83')
Nov 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Estoril
4-0
Casa Pia
Marques (1'), Guitane (24'), Gomes (69'), Cassiano (90+5')
Marques (14'), Holsgrove (64'), Gomes (73')

Neto (32'), Roberto (36'), Cardoso (82'), Mukendi (90+3')
May 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
2-2
Estoril
Cardoso (85' pen.), Godwin (90+6' pen.)
Godwin (90+7')
Cassiano (74'), Alvaro (90+8')
Guitane (34'), Carvalho (58'), Cassiano (77'), Vital (83'), Geraldes (86'), Joaozinho (90+1')
Jan 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Estoril
2-0
Casa Pia
Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!