Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
38.37% ( 0.05) | 25.85% | 35.78% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( 0) | 49.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% ( 0) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 0.03) | 25.3% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( 0.03) | 60.07% ( -0.03) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.24% ( -0.03) | 26.76% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.96% ( -0.03) | 62.04% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.37% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |