MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:38:01| >> :600:503991:503991:
Arouca
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Farense logo

Arouca
1 - 2
Farense

Trezza (16')
Simao (28'), Araujo (90+3'), Puche (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Poveda (7'), Balde (32')
Victor (55'), Africo (64'), Seruca (90+1')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Arouca and SC Farense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Arouca
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

SC Farense

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Farense
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawSC Farense
47.03% (0.709 0.71) 23.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.26% (-0.711 -0.71)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)42% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (-0.392 -0.39)64.41% (0.387 0.39)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (0.129 0.13)18.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (0.225 0.23)48.99% (-0.229 -0.23)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)27.17% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.873 -0.87)62.57% (0.869 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 47.03%
    SC Farense 29.26%
    Draw 23.69%
AroucaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.26%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 6
Farense
0-1
Arouca

Falcao (44')
Trezza (45+1')
Fukui (69'), Rodrigues (77'), Jason (90+3'), Esgaio (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Arouca
2-1
Farense
Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
> Preview
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