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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estoril

Benfica
3 - 1
Estoril

Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gomes (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Rangers
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Estoril Praia

 Both of their previous meetings this season have been closely contested, but considering Benfica are in the hunt to win the league at the business end of the season they will be looking to be a little more ruthless. The gulf in class between the two teams should ultimately lead to the Eagles taking all three points here, particularly considering Estoril's poor away form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
82.4% (-0.39 -0.39) 11.46% (0.233 0.23) 6.14% (0.1561 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.56% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)28.43% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.72% (-0.717 -0.72)49.28% (0.714 0.71)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.91% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)5.08% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.77% (-0.518 -0.52)20.23% (0.516 0.52)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.46%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 82.38%
    Estoril Praia 6.14%
    Draw 11.46%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.82%
4-0 @ 8.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 3.49% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 82.38%
1-1 @ 5.32% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 11.46%
1-2 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 1.79% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 6.14%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica
93.5%
Draw
6.5%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
1-1
Estoril
 Estoril win 5-4 on penalties
Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Benfica
1-0
Estoril
Otamendi (44')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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